And it pairs very well with a big-breaking curve that is pretty unhittable as long as he keeps it down. document.getElementById( "ak_js" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. We have previews for the four Friday-Sunday super regionals now, and will add the previews for the four Saturday-Monday super regionals shortly. A pair of Dodgers starting rotation members pitched on Tuesday, the first spring training outings for Julio Uras and Noah Syndergaard. It gets more confusing. : Dont give him fastballs to hit. Tempt him with sliders down and away out of the zone and pitchers can find some successof the 110 pitches thrown well out of the zone down and away he swung and missed at 20% of them. That's not the largest gap in baseball so far -- Rangers outfielder David Dahl has a slightly larger one, but since he's not performing much overall we're highlighting Eaton here -- and almost certainly this doesn't actually mean much of anything, especially because it's not true over Eaton's career. Glenn rarely swings and misses at anythinghis swing and miss rate was only 6%. Among the 498 fastballs hes seen, he took 41% of them (205) for a ball. Interesting article, Jeremy. Photo by Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images The problem with trying to go in on him is you dont have much margin for error. The idea of drafting two particular guys because they have opposite splits doesnt make sense, unless they replace each other in a real lineup. But on a team level, stripping out the pitchers hitting paints a clearer picture. Unless they are on the same team, theres a good chance the other guy is facing a righty. Lopez Thomas Voth Soto Drake Gagnon Santana Gonzalez Romero Rondon Ortiz Marimon Farmer Brett Hahn Huff Ford He's wasted little time getting back into the swing of things, going 3-for-3 with a homer in his third start back. Not only is Kelly batting .348/.482/.652 versus southpaws this season, but he also gets the Coors Field bump, which is never a bad thing. Nick Madrigal (2B, CHW) might seem like a slap hitter, but check out what he did against lefties before going down with a season-ending injury: .373 BA, 2 HR, 5 RBI, .989 OPS in 59 AB. The other combined no-hitter came in an effort from Shelby Walters and Claire Davidson against NC State on May 7, 2021. He is, quite simply, mashing. The catch is that there arent generally a lot of those guys to start the season. To learn more or opt-out, read our Cookie Policy. Hes normally very pitch efficient and with the exception of a rough outing against Virginia in the ACC tournament, Notre Dame has been able to count on him to work deep into games. First Base -- Connor Joe (R), 13%, Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (RHP Zac Gallen): Speaking of Coors Field bats, Joe is another slugger to try to get into your lineup. It happens all of the time. Facing left-handers has proven tougher for the Dodgers than righties, but only in a relative sense, and theyre getting better. RHP: .167/.216/.229 -- .445 OPS -- 0 HR. League with no cap, then you have to balance overall volume as the guys that only last 4/5 innings get capped in value. The 23-year-old isn't getting regular playing time just yet, but he's worth monitoring just in case he does. Ethan Haskell Another look at where the Dodgers farm system ranks among MLB teams. beloved former Cardinals legend Albert Pujols starting at first base for the Dodgers, .234/.311/.423 and a 100 wRC+ against lefties, Pujols blast from the past helps Dodgers in the present, Betts, Heyward homer in rain-shortened win. Paying attention is probably the most important takeaway. A wRC+ of 110 is 10% above league average and a wRC+ of 90 is 10% below league average. He has worked back-to-back days only once this year. Since joining the Cardinals, Happ has been nominally better with a 4.30 ERA in six starts, with six home runs allowed and a 5.38 FIP. Overall, there is not nearly the advantage that we first anticipated could exist. Overall, this isn't really about contact; his strikeout rate is about the same both home and road. The Dodgers face the Rangers in their spring training game on Wednesday in Surprise, Arizona. Joe has been on fire of late, putting up a .397 wOBA since the All-Star break. (Probably, anyway. Evan Longoria (3B, SF) is a veteran bat worth using when lefties are on the mound: .364 BA, 1.264 OPS, 1.57 Eye in 44 AB. As fun as statistics are, they can always be used to tell a story and that is what we did here. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Johnston will throw either pitch in any count, and it doesnt matter if youre a righthanded hitter or a lefty. However, making it a core part of your strategy without spending hours matching up the statistics to how our fantasy game rolls is probably not the wisest decision. Even when Leiter misses his spot and throws his fastball right down the heart of the plate, its still not a fun at-bathitters hit .182/.182/.455 on fastballs right down the center. If the league has daily lineups and inning caps then it is critical to maximize the ks and you can use RP to back into Wins. How He Does It: Tidwell not only possesses one of the best names in the Super Regionals, he also has one of the best fastballs (as measured by velocity). Sliders down and away are the way to stay away from his power. Eric Lauer (L), 22%, Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: Lauer has been an underrated fantasy asset this season, posting a 3.44 ERA with a 9.0 K/9 across 16 games (12 starts). Copyright 2023. He takes great pride in his success and loves nothing more than to share that success for the benefit of everyone involved. He worked efficiently, throwing 19 of 23 pitches for strikes, and worked around two hits from the Orioles. Showalter praised Troy Miller following the right-handers 1 / scoreless innings against Houston. The industry's #1 analytical weekly e-mail newsletter is ABSOLUTELY FREE! Teel showed a significant platoon advantage against righties, but Muncy has 42 more plate appearances against lefties than Pujols. He's had a few blowup outings, and his inflated 5.12 ERA can at least partly be blamed both on poor control (4.9 BB/9) as well as issues keeping the ball in the park. Staff flamethrower: Chase Silseth and T.J. Nichols both can touch 97 mph when needed. Hes not as effective against curveballs (.250/.276/.571), but he did hit three doubles and two home runs off curves. Really, go back Williams will swing and miss some at changeups as he looks for a fastball to drive, but he has a solid ability to adjust to changes of speed. Split statistics are naturally flawed for fantasy analysis because they look at the pitcher being faced rather than the pitcher starting the game. Los Angeles also owns the best record in games started against them by southpaws. That is quite a leap from these two guys that can be picked up late in the draft. Mike Trout probably isnt going to keep hitting .413. However, is it really that simple? He had nine hits with six extra-base hits (including three home runs) against the 88 changeups he saw. He can reach back for 98-99 mph if needed and it wouldnt be out of the realm of possibility to see him touch 100 this weekend. Staff flamethrower: Evan Justicecan touch 97-98 mph. Why did you choose Hays as part of the platoon? Web9/1/2021 Hello, and welcome back to Hitter List, where every week during the regular season Ill be sharing updated rankings for the top 150 hitters in baseball. Hitters hit .357/.364/.929 against Maddens fastballs in the upper third of the strike zone. Annual comprehensive look at each team's top minor leaguers, The titles and awards the have been given to BHQ. Hes not helpless against lefties, but a lefty who can double- or triple-up on a slider or curve can stymie him. After non-tendering Nomar Mazara earlier this week for his failure to fill such a gap, the White Sox currently carry three left-handed bats in their 2021 projected lineup: Yon Moncada, Yasmani Grandal, and Leury Garca. Learn how your comment data is processed. Did you notice whos fueling the offense of the first-place Giants? They have ample room in their Many hitters have strong splits which is seen in major league lineup construction and pinch hitter selection. Ive been working : Bring in a lefty who can consistently spin a breaking ball. It's true that Lauer is often just picking on bad offenses, as a whopping seven of his last eight starts have come against the Pirates, Royals or Rockies, but when you're exclusively using a guy as a streamer, there's nothing wrong with that. Teams: Dodgers (87-51) at Cardinals (69-67). He hit .438/.579/.938 on fastballs. * 21+ (19+ CA-ONT) (18+ NH/WY). They have two chances to improve in this series, including Tuesday night when J.A. Please also read our Privacy Notice and Terms of Use, which became effective December 20, 2019. Leiter threw 152 fastballs in the upper third of the strike zone and if he hit his spot, it almost always resulted in either a strike or a foul ball. That is, currently, the largest split between hitting from the same player at a different position in baseball. So why are submarine/sidearm pitchers having more success against opposite handed hitters than The ones that pop up over the season tend to be minors call-ups that are listed as SP that end in a bullpen. Second Base -- Kolten Wong (L), 45%, Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals (RHP Paolo Espino): Wong doesn't excel at any one thing, but he does have a little power, some speed, and bats leadoff in a great park for left-handed hitters. WebThe Padres are taking a flier on the 29-year-old left-handed hitter, who has batted .201/.274/.398 for three teams over the past four seasons. Corner Infield - Patrick Wisdom (R), 28%, Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals (LHP Kris Bubic): Bubic is one of the more hittable hurlers on the slate. Irvin gave up only four home runs and 19 extra-base hits all season. It would be nearly impossible to capitalize on all the right matchups at the right time. Making that leap, we can simply just add their stats together to create Adam Hays or Austin Duvall, right? Add up the stats and see where we land. With a hitter who hit .395 in the Southeastern Conference, youre not looking for weaknesses as much as you are areas where hes not going to hurt you as much. Acquiring Trea Turner at the trade deadline helped in many ways, but especially so against southpaws. Its not that Williams swings and misses at breaking balls at an exceptional rate as much as he doesnt drive them particularly well. 70 innings x 2 over a full season is a lot more helpful than doing it in August and only getting 30 combined ip. He hit .500 on fastballs over 94 mph in 2021. The goal was to find a guy available late in the draft with matching positional eligibility. Staff flamethrower: Madden can touch 98-99 mph and hes been known to do so deep into his outings. Rudys hittertron is also awesome. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes. In fact, since that was also the case in his brief stint as a Cub in 2019 (1.162 OPS at home, .822 OPS on the road), one might argue that Castellanos just likes playing at home, no matter where that home is, better than anywhere else. Throw a slider down and away and he can yank it with power, but throw a fastball down and away and hell just as happily drive the ball to the opposite field. Jason Castro (C, HOU) is a second catcher worth targeting in deep leagues. The Marlins and Brewers have more in common than missing the playoffs last year. Isolated Power - Advanced stat that measures raw power. He isnt helpless against breaking balls, but he did hit only .229/.308/.371 against sliders. Better yet, he's allowed no more than one run in six of his last seven starts. Of the 52 changeups he threw in the middle of the zone or higher, only one was turned into a single. That includes .323/.400/.645, a 175 wRC+ with four doubles and two home runs in 35 plate appearances since joining the Dodgers. Anthony Rendon. Reid Detmers (L), 5%, Los Angeles Angels at Cleveland: After getting roughed up by the Athletics and Dodgers in his first two big-league starts, Detmers rebounded his last time out, holding the Astros to just one run over six frames, adding six strikeouts. Commentary. Time to (dis)prove that notion in this weeks hitter profiles. Ryan Jeffers (C, MIN) has produced in spurts since his recall from the minors. I guess the opener strategy has one positiveit gives some players sp eligibility. Tatis was in the lineup Tuesday as the designated hitter and batting second in an exhibition against San Francisco. : Arkansas has a very deep lineup, so theres no one hitter to avoid, but Franklin leads the team in slugging percentage (.557) and is second in on-base percentage (.425). Triston McKenzie (R), rostered in 51% of ESPN leagues, Cleveland vs. Los Angeles Angels: McKenzie's results have been a little uneven since joining Cleveland's rotation. If he does, hes going to work on the outer third of the plate, staying away from both lefties and righties. Here are the hitters who have posted the widest LH-RH batting eye ratio splits: Let's take a closer look at some bats who own significant lefty-righty production and batting eye splits. And he has done so while showing elite plate skills (11% bb%, 90% ct%, 1.20 Eye). Happ starts on the mound for St. Louis. How He Does It: With Hamel, a batter better win at 0-0. He looks pretty pedestrian against RHers: .226 BA, .685 OPS, 0.45 Eye in 106 AB. They will generally see fastballs and sliders away. Sports betting and gambling laws vary by jurisdiction. His fastball is arguably his best pitch, but because hitters have to be looking for it, his slider is even more effective. It is your responsibility to verify such matters and to know and follow your local laws. But usually its plan B with whoever is my bench bat. Cora has historically preferred to alternate lefties and right-handed hitters, especially near the top of the lineup. Detroit's first-rounder worked to ingratiate himself throughout West Michigan's clubhouse. He is docked two points for each hit, four points for each earned run allowed, two points for each unearned run allowed, and one point for each walk. The first three are Otto Lopez, Cody Thomas and Austin Voth. So has Luke Murphy. Lefties dont need to worry about his changeup, but his combination of fastballs to all four quadrants of the strike zone and curveballs low and away dont make for easy swings for lefties. Part of USA TODAY Sports Digital Properties, Tools. One of the nations 10 largest banks, Capital One was the third largest issuer of Visa and Mastercard credit cards in 2021. Some guys are set it and forget it, but we cant have a full team of studs in competitive leagues and often have spots where we have options. He's a really useful bat against southpaws (.357 BA, 3 HR, 8 RBI, 1.150 OPS in 28 AB). Fantasy baseball daily notes: Pitcher and hitter rankings for Saturday, Tatis: Shoulder, wrist '100%' in return to play, Machado envisions 'great things' with Padres, Dodgers' Lux to miss 2023 season with torn ACL, Rays' Glasnow out 6-8 weeks with oblique strain, Pads' Musgrove drops kettlebell, fractures toe, DeGrom throws, takes 'step in the right direction', Harper expected to report to Phillies in 2 weeks, Fantasy baseball rankings, projections, strategy and cheat sheets, ESPN fantasy baseball has a new and exciting default format. Now, again, we're talking about 102 plate appearances, total, which would be enough to hand-wave away except for the fact that Soler had an OPS 203 points higher as a DH in 2020, and 202 points higher in 2019 as a DH than he did in right, and 231 points higher in 2018, and really it's just been like this for his entire American League career -- .914 OPS as a DH, .719 as an outfielder -- and since the glove is poor anyway, maybe the Royals might just consider letting him be a bat-only player full-time? Nick Madrigal. While we know splits will double count games, nevertheless the combination of these two gentlemen is quite intriguing. Analysis. Adrian Morejn, a lefty who had Tommy John surgery in 2021 and threw just 34 innings out of the bullpen last season. How He Does It: Johnston is a fastball/slider pitcher. He really struggles against LHers (.541 OPS, 0.11 Eye in 82 AB) but mashes righties (1.083 OPS, 0.39 Eye in 169 AB). The concept has been around for years and hinges on some real-world strategy in the major leagues. I would think ideally it would be AL players to limit the impact of switches and a lefty (ie strong against righties). Cora has historically preferred to alternate lefties and right-handed hitters, especially near the top of the lineup. Soler seems to be that player. : Dugas is going to hit the ball hard at some point in any series. That all makes sense, and it's good strategy. For now, we can't expect him to do much against RHers though: .132 BA, 1 HR, 4 RBI, .424 OPS, 0.15 Eye in 53 AB. The goal was not to find the perfect match, but find two guys that looked like good matches on the surface splits. How the weather should factor in your fantasy baseball lineup decisions, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. How He Does It: Williams can light up radar guns and he carries that mid-90s velocity deep into his starts. He hasnt seen exceptional velocity this year (only 34 pitches above 93 mph this year and none above 94). You can create a stud pitcher more easily by finding middle relievers / setup men who generate Ks, have great ratios, lock up the occasional save and get wins sprinkled in as a bonus. He has also allowed 31 home runs, the second-highest total in baseball behind teammate Mike Foltynewicz. And yet: This happened in 2020, too! Michael Brantley, Houston Astros Because of that ability to pound the bottom of the zone, Madden can get hitters (lefties and righties) to chase sliders far off the plate down to his glove side. He's a truly elite bat against lefties: .341 BA, 1.219 OPS, 2.60 Eye in 44 AB. WebVisit ESPN to view the Miami Marlins team splits for the 2022 season. On the other hand, McKenzie sports a 10.6 K/9 and has delivered three straight quality starts, including an absolutely dominant performance his last time out during which he held Detroit to just one hit over eight frames to go along with 11 strikeouts. 25 players are tied for the best career batting average against left-handed pitchers, with an average of 1.000. But if you miss your spot out of the zone, he will most likely take it (he has good strike-zone awareness), and if you miss your spot by coming further in, hell crush it. Yes on the callups, but more often it comes from players due to role changes or doing something different. Injury-plagued hitter with elite upside. Both his production (.206 BA, .736 OPS in 131 AB) and Copyright 2007 -2023 Razzball LLC. You probably dont want to put much of anything into splits at this point. Stats in blue are the best hitting teams are the best and between the 75th and 100th percentile. How Do You Attack Him? The 29-year-old had a down season with the Mets in 2021, hitting .232 with a .729 OPS. He hit .381/.466/.603 against righthanders fastballs and .353/.436/.618 against lefties fastballs. PT TOMORROW: AL East Will BOS real leadoff hitter please stand up? Saturday's bout against Cleveland, which has a bottom-five offense versus lefties this season, will be Detmer's most favorable matchup yet. Time will tell whether that absurd strikeout rate will eventually transfer to the majors but, for now, he's a name to remember. So, for example, a 10 is a must-start rating, while a 1 should be avoided (if possible); a 1-2 is poor, 3-4 is fair, 5-6 is average, 7-8 is very good and 9-10 is excellent. Why not another guy whos much stronger vs. the numerically greater righties? 1 hitter? Shortstop -- Jose Barrero (R), 2%, Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins (RHP Zach Thompson): Barrero (formerly Jose Garcia) was recalled from Triple-A earlier this week. But with two strikes, his slider can be filthy, and that makes his fastball play better as well. Johnston throws both pitches a nearly equal amount and he actually throws his sliders for strikes a little more often than his fastball. Toronto Blue Jays (Hit Score: 3.5) 3 3. If the pitchers ahead, youre likely dead. Lets just roll with the assumption that their managers know what they are doing and have been selective in their starting assignments. Both his production (.206 BA, .736 OPS in 131 AB) and plate skills (8% bb%, 63% ct%, 0.23 Eye) tank against RHers. Atlanta somehow has just 29 hits against lefties; meanwhile, Baltimore outfielder Cedric Mullins III has 16 by himself. He hit .667/.786/1.333 against high velocity and .354/.494/.556 against fastballs overall. That might yet be what happens soon enough, anyway. 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