On the Beyer scale, the top stakes horses in the United States and Canada typically earn numbers in the 100s, while extremely strong performances can rate in the 120s. Nest improved to an 82 Beyer and a 99 Equibase figure in the Suncoast. There's nothing written in stone, but I am mindful of the fact that I need to be careful.. He later was disqualified for a drug overage and runner-up Mandaloun was promoted to the win. In 1963, Taulbot sent his parallel-time chart to Beyer's Harvard classmate, Sheldon Kovitz, who adjusted it to account for velocity (e.g., a horse who runs six furlongs in 1:09 will run its seventh furlong faster than one who runs 1:13, and so forth). [23], As Beyer has noted, a speed figure is a numerical expression of a horse's final time, universalized for distance, track surface, and the daily variant on that surface. Only four contenders in this year's prospective Derby field have a Beyer Speed Figure within five points of co-tops Taiba and Messier:Epicenter with a 102 and Zandon, Zozos and Simplification, each of whom have a 98 Beyer to their credit. I have said that everything is on the table. Belmont Stakes 2022: Post positions, morning line; We the People favored at 2-1. . [22] However, Beyer also acknowledged that by some calculations, Count Fleet's Beyer speed figures might have reached 150. The best horses in the U.S. generally earn Beyer Speed Figures between 105 and 115. Sprinter Turf Male Turf Female. 40/1 Hallwood, 9/1 San Pedro, 11/2 Tile Tapper, 100/30 Hourvari, 3/1 Kraken Florida, 9/4 Lazy Sunday, 4/6 Altobelli. Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. Written By Mo Nuwwarah on May 19, 2022 - Last Updated on May 23, 2022. Morello performed the worst last time out, surprisingly after winning his first three races. Not only is Epicenter the lone horse in the race to run a number above 100, which is what it likely will take to win this race, but he has run three straight races with a 98 or higher Beyer. Beyer Speed Figures favor Epicenter, and it is not very close. The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. Beyer Speed Figures are a great tool. As of 02.26.23. } OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? border: 1px solid #CCC; For winning the Arkansas Derby (G1), Cyberknife earned a Brisnet Figure three points lower than Happy Jack did while being dusted in the Santa Anita Derby. Written By Mo Nuwwarah on June 8, 2022 - Last Updated on June 9, 2022. Early Voting's previous high was only a 91. Sell. The team that puts out the Beyer speed figure numbers made it official Monday morning. Beyer Speed Figures earned by Messier (103) and Adare Manor (94) in their blowout victories yesterday at Santa Anita were the highest by male and female 3-year-olds, respectively, thus far in 2022. The most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as well. This implies that Secretariat would have had the highest ever Beyer speed figure. The Win and Youre In Challenge Series offers the winners of specific individual races an expenses-paid starting spot for corresponding Breeders Cup races, and this blog will periodically take a closer look at one promising prospect. Since making their published debut in 1992, Beyer Speed Figures have become the industry standard for evaluating Thoroughbred performance. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? Epicenter is the only other horse in the field to . 38 Flatter Died 2022 67 111 17 0 $665,300 3 3 4% 0 0 0% 96 Hero Status. Below is the best and most recent BSF from each horse in the 2022 Kentucky Derby Field. Here are the 19 highest Beyer figures for Saturday's races, with figures from Brisnet and TimeformUS where available. Follow TheLines on Twitter for complete 2022 Kentucky Derby coverage. Andrew Beyer and his associates answer selected readers questions about Beyer Speed Figures. On 2016s Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. Kentucky Derby 2022: How do the speed figures stack up. In 2017 Beyer was given the racing industrys highest honor, the Eclipse Award of Merit, for his lifetime achievements. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball. Triple Crown Winners from Sir Barton to Justify, Black History Month: Shining a Spotlight on Notable African American Jockeys, Preakness Quick Sheet: Get to Know the 2021 Preakness Horses, Get to Know All 13 U.S. Commentator, who once ran a 123 in his career, scored a 120 as a 7-year-old, possibly a record for a horse that old. We knew Olympiad was fast - he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February - but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a . A horse doesnt have to have earned a triple-digit BSF before the Derby to win, but its also difficult to make an enormous leap of 10+ from a career-best in a prep race and win the Derby. Beyer explained that rating a horses ability on just the final time of the race was not good enough, because racing surfaces can vary from day to day based on the weather, how the track is maintained and other factors. Below well explore Kentucky Derby odds Beyer Speed Figure ratings. 2022 Preakness Stakes morning-line odds, picks: Racing insider offers betting strategy for second leg of Triple Crown One week after hitting the Pick 4 at Belmont Park for $1,851, Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir just revealed his picks and bets for the Preakness Stakes on Saturday at Pimlico Race Course Regularly updated current leaders in Beyer Figures, by division, Stormy Liberal's 119 Beyer one for the books, Context matters in determining Beyers for Personal Ensign Stakes, Beyer analysis supports Justify as Derby favorite, Slight edge to American Pharoah over Justify on speed figures, Purchase Beyer on Demand & Lifetime Beyer Speed Figures Click here >>, Download free sample Lifetime Beyer Speed Figures. Daily Racing Form provides the top 25 race horses ranked by earnings. Last year, he was on fire. We expect next year to go a lot different than this year because when you do right by a horse, you build a better product going forward. Sven Beyer. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Final PGA TOUR Thoughts, Betting Card. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby 2022: New scenarios after 3 defections, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. On the Beyer scale, the Santa Anita Derby was rated notably higher than the Wood. His Beyers have progressed from 70 to 88 to 98. That's the case for this year's Wood Memorial, where pacesetter Early Voting got a slightly higher TimeformUS Speed Figure than Mo Donegal. Epicenter's effort in the Risen Star earned him a 98 Beyer and Brisnet. Unlike many of his rivals, he still has room to catch up on speed figures. with a Beyer Speed Figure of 103, best of any contender and second fastest among 3-year-olds this year. No one else has topped 96. On 2016's Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. This page was last edited on 10 October 2022, at 07:24 (UTC). His Brisnet Ratings have improved from 76 to 98, and his TimeformUS numbers has gone from 98 to 116 in only three starts. Just how fast is a certain crop of horses in the Kentucky Derby? . } The track variant considers both the historical average time at the racetrack for the distance in question, called the "par time", and the average speed for the day in particular. The bottom of the crop is equivalent in both years, with the lowest top-BSF at 83. It will be well thought out and he'll have him ready to run no matter where he winds up.. This makes them wild cards of sorts, with the odds estimate reflecting the uncertainty. I'm going to take it one step at a time. He said Monday that he had not picked out a next start for the colt and was not in any hurry to do so. The figures are generally less reliable in turf races, which often have a slow early pace resulting in slow final times that do not reflect the horse's true speed. Beyer Speed Figures will sometimes be revised after they are originally published. Last year, he was on fire. There were three Kentucky Derby horses that posted 100+ BSFs. Speed Figures: Nest's speed figures have improved dramatically in her last few starts. border: 1px solid #CCC; Odds Shark does not target an audience under the age of 18. He may just be the type of horse who is so fast than he needs ample time between races. The British Rail Class 35 is a class of mixed-traffic B-B diesel locomotive with hydraulic transmission.Because of their Mekydro-design hydraulic transmission units, the locomotives became known as the Hymeks.They were numbered D7000-D7100. She earned an impressive 98 Beyer Speed Figure in that race, the best of any Oaks rival by six points. 92. His Beyer Speed Figure of 92 is only 4 points off the second best number. Remember Ben with a gift to Thoroughbred aftercare, Subscribe for FREE to the Daily PDF or the News Alerts, Home Archive Shared News With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. However, that came after the disqualification of Maximum Security. Taiba also notched a 102 in winning the Santa Anita Derby April . The 148th running of horse racing's Kentucky Derby will be held Saturday, May 7, 2022, at Churchill Downs in Louisville. He will now try to win the Derby in only his third start, which seems preposterous, but it seemed preposterous to win the . Flightline was given a 118 Beyer figure for his sensational performance in Sunday's GI Runhappy Malibu S. at Santa Anita, which is the top figure assigned to any horse this year. Epicenter might have grabbed the weekend headlines by winning the Grade 2 Risen Star and picking up 50 qualifying points for the 2022 Kentucky Derby.But it was a 5-year-old who had the fastest race of the weekend, at least according to two sources. Epicenter, with Joel Rosario aboard, wins the $1 million Louisiana Derby horse race at Fair Grounds on Saturday, March 26, 2022. We knew Olympiad was fast he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a mile in :12.53, according to Equibase, was especially impressive. Speed figures are normalized numerical representations of final times based on relative track speeds, as it is rare for tracks to produce the exact final . Each day's races are compared to their pars, with the variant representing the average deviation, and then added to the raw speed rating to yield the par-time based figure. Signup and get a $200 deposit bonus! Previewing the 2022 Kentucky Derby. Wednesday College Basketball Best Bets: Will Texas Road Slump Continue? Using this information to contravene any law or statute is prohibited. As he grew up in Erie, Pa., attended Harvard College, and wrote a horse-racing column for the Washington Post, Andrew Beyers great passions were handicapping and betting. (Only Epicenter, Messier . Speed Figures: Un Ojo improved his best Equibase Speed Figure 14 points to a 91 for the Rebel Stakes, and he boosted his career-best Beyer Speed Figure 13 points to an 84. In two of that years Kentucky Derby preps, Destin stopped the timer for the 1 1/16 miles of the Tampa Bay Derby in 1:42.82. They employ their judgment in analyzing any racing card and determining the track variant. (Note that this speed figure was assigned before the numbers were published in the Daily Racing Form, so may not be included in some listings of the top speed figures. padding: 4px; )[3] In 2004, Ghostzapper earned the highest Beyer Speed Figure for the year at 128 while winning the Philip H. Iselin Stakes. Belmont Stakes 2022 post positions, morning line; We the People favored at 2-1. . Messier's career high of 127 and Taiba's best of 125 top the field. I don't think he has any distance limitations.. He has had only three 3 starts and has yet to go beyond 1 1/16 miles. Low 43F. Baby Yoda finished second in the Malibu, but was never a threat to Flightline, who won eased up by 11 1/2 lengths. The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the syndicated horse racing columnist for The Washington Post. Pars for Beyer Speed Figures represent the approximate average winning figure for a given class at a given track. Winds ESE at 5 to 10 mph. However, seven horses posted a BSF between 90-94 in the 2022 crop versus five in 2021. Brisnet speed ratings are courtesy ofBrisnet. 1 . Taiba earned the same number when defeating his stablemate in the Santa Anita Derby (G1). He has run consecutive 101 numbers, which puts him behind four other Preakness probables. [5] Easy Goer is also the record-holder for a two-year-old, earning a 116 Beyer Speed Figure in the 1988 Champagne Stakes. He made a breakthrough in the early 1970s when he began to experiment with speed figures, and was confident enough in his methodology to write a book, Picking Winners, in 1975. 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